Understanding Why Noah Dobson Doesn’t Measure Up: A NHL News Perspective

The Montreal Canadiens are trying to figure out what’s next with defenseman Lane Hutson, whose contract extension is up. Some have drawn comparisons between Hutson and Noah Dobson, who recently inked a long-term deal. But comparing the two isn’t exactly apples to apples.

While both players have a lot of potential, they’re in different positions. The timing and context of their negotiations place them in different contractual categories. When Dobson signed his eight-year, deal worth $9.5 million per season, he was close to becoming an unrestricted free agent, giving him more leverage.

On the other hand, Hutson is nearing the end of his entry-level contract, with five more years of restricted free agency ahead. Unfortunately for him, having no arbitration rights also means having less negotiating leverage. As a result, he couldn’t expect to command the same kind of money as Dobson right off the bat, even if their talents are on par.

The more appropriate comparisons for Hutson might be Jake Sanderson, Brock Faber, or Quinn Hughes. These defensemen signed long-term contracts as restricted free agents under clause 10.2(c), situations that more closely align with Hutson’s circumstances. Sanderson signed an eight-year contract for an annual $8.05 million cap hit. Faber also signed for eight years, earning $8.5 million per year. Hughes, whose playing style is slightly different, likewise inked a long-term deal early in his restricted free agency period.

Going off these examples, it’s safe to say Hutson’s extension could be between $8.8 and $9.5 million, depending on whether the Canadiens lock him in for six or eight years. This aligns with the modern RFA market, where players compromise for job security, and teams aim to retain cap flexibility.

Hutson’s impending contract signing will be a significant event for both him and the Canadiens. While Dobson’s contract does provide a reference, Hutson’s situation is more akin to recent RFA extensions. Regardless of how his contract ends up looking, one thing is clear: his value can’t be denied.